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Sunday, 12 January 2014

German global analysis: 2013 was a debacle for the cult of anthropogenic global warming

Veteran German journalist Ulli Kulke of Die Welt writes a summary of 2013 in terms of the global warming debate at his blog He concludes: "Once again evidence has mounted that we are slowly but surely departing from the view of a global apocalypse."

On 2013 global temperature, Kulke writes:

We will hear that 2013 was one of the ten warmest years of recent history (probably one of the seven warmest). And with great certainty the following will be concluded from all this: This is proof that global warming is galloping unhindered, if not accelerating. But according to the statistics this is not the case at all, especially the latter. It cannot be emphasized enough: One of the 'ten warmist' or 'seven warmest' in fact shows that global warming has reached a relatively high level, but also that the dynamic for a further warming has halted, at least for the time being. [...]

In the meantime there's another observation that has been officially recognized. Even the IPCC confirmed in its fifth assessmernt report from last September: There has been no statistically significant warming in the last one and half decades. [...]

Thus global warming has stopped - and has done so even while CO2 emissions have increased unhindered."

2013 was a blow to the credibility of climate models and CO2 sensitivity. Kulke:

It was just last year - and regrettably this was kept away from the public's attention - that many scientific peer reviewed papers appeared in scientific journals showing that CO2′s effect on the climate, its 'climate sensitivity', had previously been estimated to be much too high."
2013 saw the death of the science that claimed CO2 is causing more storms. Kulke writes:
Here there are no indications that the number or intensity of hurricanes and typhoons have increased over the last decades. Quite to the contrary. The tendency is, for both strength and frequency, significantly less, as shown by this compilation umistakably shows. Also the last 2013 report from the IPCC: The authors downgraded the statements on the probability with respect to the previous report of 2007."
And 2013 saw another grand climate conference failure in Warsaw:
No one expected there would be an agreement on a binding reduction of CO2 emissions. And of course there wasn't. What a surprise...just like every year before. [...]

Once again what became clear in Warsaw: In the end it's not really about CO2 emissions - it's mostly about money and a redistribution from North To South."
Also Kulke writes it is very clear that in countries like Canada, Japan, Russia, Great Britain and Germany have been sending out loud signals that their enthusiasm about climate protection is waning.
The list of naysayer countries has gotten considerably longer."
Kulke adds that even climate refugees seeking asylum from sea level rise were turned away:
All that remains to be mentioned for 2013 is the court case in New Zealand where a citizen of the Pacific island nation of Kiribati attempted to be recognized as a a climate refuges because his island nation is supposedly going under. The judge threw out the case - mainly due to formal reasons. That's a pity because she could have provided the Polynesian with a real factual reason: namely that the islands of his nation are not going under. Quite to the contrary in the last 50 years the islands are growing, as you can read about it here."
2013 was in fact so bad that even after almost everyone had closed the books on the year and unanimously called it a knockout for the skeptics, 2013 delivered two other massive bonus blows that left the warmists reeling at the very end of the year: the Chris Turney Antarctic expedition debacle and the record North American cold wave. These last-second blows are carrying well into the year 2014.

Never has a new year started off so well for the skeptics. The debate tipping point is steadily getting closer. 

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